Sal’s Week 7 NFL Picks

Last Week: 4-7-2

Season: 43-41-5

Freefalling back to .500

Last week was another stinker as I now fall closer and closer to .500. This week’s slate of games seems to lack any truly exciting match-ups. San Diego at NYJ may be the most interesting of the bunch while Seattle at Cleveland may make you vomit. Anyway, enough babble, onto the picks.

Houston at Tennessee – 3

Pick: Titans -3, Battle for 1st place in the AFC South. The Texans are struggling with key injuries to Andre Johnson, Mario Williams and DeMeco Ryans. LP is one of the tougher stadiums to play in for road teams and I see the Titans pulling this one out against a very banged up Texans team.

Chicago -1 at Tampa Bay

Pick: Bears -1, as we saw last week, if the Bears can give Cutler some time he has top tier talent. Here’s thinking that Mike Martz and co. have figured out the protection schemes from last week’s success and will employ them against the Bucs who are coming off a huge win against their rivals the Saints.

Atlanta at Detroit -3

Pick: Lions -3, hungry after the “hard handshake” loss, the Lions will air it out all day against one of the worst secondary’s in the league.

Denver at Miami (pick)

Pick: Broncos (pick), the Tebow show is now in full effect and this will be a homecoming of sorts for Tebow as he heads back to the state where he was a worshipped god during his college years. The Dolphins are pushing hard (or maybe not pushing at all) to win the Andrew Luck sweepstakes.

Washington at Carolina -1

Pick: Panthers -1, John Beck makes his first start in the NFL since 2007, replacing the struggling Rex Grossman. The Panthers on the other hand have no QB issues as Cam Newton has turned the Panthers offence into one of the more dangerous offences in the league. The Panthers have had troubles holding onto leads this season, but they turn this around tomorrow and win comfortably.

Seattle at Cleveland -2.5

Pick: Browns -2.5, the Hawks are historically not a good eastern travelling squad. Yes, they did win earlier this year against the G-men, but asking for 2 wins in the east is asking a lot.

San Diego at NYJ (pick)

Pick: Chargers (pick), Rex Ryan gave some bulletin board material to the Chargers on Wednesday when he stated if he was the coach of the Chargers in the past few seasons he would have had a couple Super Bowl rings by now. This will be a tough road game for the Chargers, but they are the superior team and should be motivated to back up their coach in this one and show up Rex Ryan and his boys.

KC at Oakland – 4

Pick: Chiefs +4 , the Raiders made a splash at the trade deadline trading a bunch of draft picks for Carson Palmer. It looks like Palmer may not start tomorrow, but it doesn’t really matter because whoever is in at QB will just be feeding the rock to Mr. Darren McFadden. The Chiefs have won 2 games in a row and are coming off a bye week. The public is all over the Raiders at a whopping 72% clip according to covers.com. I think the Chiefs make this exciting and break the hearts of Raidernation.

Pittsburgh -4 at Arizona

Pick: Cardinals +4, the Steelers are a tough team to figure out this year. After their demolishment of the Titans I thought maybe the Steelers of old were back and they were going to start rolling teams. However, they follow up the Titans win with a blah effort against the Jags. I think we see another blah effort against a non-conference team on the road.

St. Louis at Dallas – 14

Pick: Rams +14, the Rams had plenty of opportunities last week to get garbage points against the Pack to cover the number, but they just could not get anything going. So I’m going to take a flier with them again getting a backdoor cover this week. My least favourite pick this week by far.

Green Bay -10.5 at Minnesota

Pick: Vikings +10.5, the Vikings were embarrassed last week against a division rival and this has forced a QB change to occur. What a first start for Ponder to have, just going against the defending champs…no worries. 10.5 is a lot of points for a road team let alone a division rival. I still think the Pack win, but the Vikes give a spirited effort keeping things decent.

Indianapolis at New Orleans -13.5

Pick: Saints -13.5, would the Colts trade Manning if they won the Andrew Luck sweepstakes? I would have provided the link to the article that debated this subject, but I can’t find the page anymore. The Saints offence will obliterate the Colts porous defence. For greedy fantasy purposes I’m hoping Mark Ingram gets his first 100 yard, multi-TD game.

Baltimore -8 at Jacksonville

Pick: Ravens -8, poor Blaine Gabbert. Last week he had to face the brutal Steeler defence and this week he gets Ray Lewis and co. Punishment is on it’s way for a second week in a row for the Jag rook. Ravens in a cake walk.

Favourite Pick: Titans -3

Least Favourite Pick: Rams +14