Last week: 6-8
Last week was an embarrassment not only because of the sub .500 record, but also because the wife’s randoms picks went 7-7. I just told her about her win and she won’t stop cheering. Thursday night games start this week and thus the reason for posting the weekly pics a few days earlier this week. The confidence is at an all time low…FADE ME!
Oakland at San Diego -7
Pick: Chargers -7, this is a monster game for both teams, but maybe more so for the Chargers who have lost 3 in a row. Philip Rivers has been a picks machine this year, but I think he’s going to have a monster game this week against a very weak Raiders d. The Raiders will again be without their superstar running back Darren McFadden and their offence just isn’t the same without him. Carson Palmer won’t be able to keep up with the offensive onslaught from the Chargers this week. Desperation and home field…I’ll take the chargers
Jacksonville -3 at Indy
Pick: Colts +3, this matchup makes me a little nauseous and if there was a week where the Colts could win a game this would be it. I have about 2% confidence in this pick, two below average teams, I’ll take the home team if I had to choose.
Denver at KC -3.5
Pick: Chiefs -3.5, the Tebow show pulled it out last week against the Raiders while the Chiefs stunk up the joint against the previously winless Dolphins. These teams match up pretty evenly. My thinking may be whack here, but Id rather take the home team coming off an embarrassing loss rather than a team coming off a huge win on the road.
Pittsburgh -3 at Cincinnati
Pick: Steelers -3, a monster game for both teams this week. The Bengals have shocked the world so far with their 6-2 record, but their schedule has been very favourable the last 4 weeks. The Bengals defence has been their strong point this year, but again the only strong offence they’ve faced this year was the Bills. The Steelers avenge last weeks big loss to their mortal enemies and spank the cats in this one.
Buffalo at Dallas -5.5
Pick: Bills +5.5, the Bills were taken to town by their division rival Jets last week, while the Cowboys had a virtual bye week in a win versus the Seahawks. This will be a tough road game for the Bills, but I believe in Fitzpatrick and the beard more than I believe in Romo and his inconsistent play.
New Orleans -1 at Atlanta
Pick: Saints -1, another monster match up between division rivals. This should be a fun game to watch as it seems all games between these two teams comes down to the wire. Both defences will have trouble stopping the other team, but I feel the Falcons will have a tougher time of stopping Drew Brees an co. then vice versa.
St. Louis at Cleveland -2.5
Pick: Browns -2.5, the complete opposite of the above matchup, this game could potentially be the least watched game of the week. The Browns defence is actually serviceable while the Rams struggle on both sides of the ball. I see an ugly 13-6 type of outcome in this one.
Washington at Miami -4
Pick: Dolphins -4, The fish got off the snide last week with a big road win against the Chiefs. The Redskins continue to spiral down the NFC East losing 4 straight. The Dolphins seem to have figured it out on offence…feed the ball to Brandon Marshall and Reggie Bush. The ‘fins have been fairly steady on defence lately and they face an out of sorts ‘Skins offence without their top playmaker Santana Moss.
Houston -3.5 at Tampa Bay
Pick: Texans -3.5, the Texans are rolling right now and they’ve been doing it by pounding the rock with their two headed monster running attack with Arian Foster and Ben Tate. The Bucs have been inconsistent all year and I don’t see them having enough to keep up with the Texans offensive attack.
Tennessee at Carolina -3.5
Pick: Panthers -3.5, I think I’m too heavily biased in this one because Cam Newton is my fantasy QB and I am in a dogfight for one of the final playoff spots in my league. Numbers wise these teams match up fairly well on defence, but it’s on offence where the Panthers have a big advantage. I’ll take the rested Panthers at home.
Arizona at Philadelphia (no line out yet)
Pick: Eagles, the line will be monstrous, probably in the -14 range. The Cardinals may be without Kevin Kolb again this week and that does not bode well against one of the tougher pass defences in the league. The Eagles are coming off a big loss on Monday night and will be the more desperate team in this one.
Baltimore -7 at Seattle
Pick: Seahawks +7, this could be a huge letdown game for the Ravens after their huge win against the Steelers last week. It’s tough to pull the trigger on the ‘Hawks, but I’ll use evidence from earlier this year when the Ravens beat the Steelers and put up a stinker against the Titans the following week.
NYG at San Fran -3.5
Pick: 49ers -3.5, the Giants are coming off a monster win last week winning at New England…no one wins in New England other than Tom Brady. It’s tough to back them for back to back wins on the road. The 49ers are an amazing 7-0-1 against the spread this year. I’ll back the soon to be NFC West champs.
Detroit at Chicago -2.5
Pick: Bears -2.5, it looks like the Bears offensive line has figured out how to block and Cutler has shown if he has time he can be top tier material. This a revenge spot for the Bears as the Lions beat them 4 weeks ago in Detroit. I’ll back the home team in yet another monster rivalry game.
New England at NYJ -1
Pick: Jets -1, wow, this has to be the best week for match-ups so far this year. An endless assortment of games to drool over. Is it panic time in New England? Maybe. This game is too tough to call in my opinion, all the voices in my head scream Pats because they can’t lose 3 in a row right? However, maybe the lustre is fading with the Pats and the first ominous sign was last week’s home loss. The Jets on the other hand are on fire and would love to continue their arch rivals losing ways.
Minnesota at Green Bay -13
Pick: Packers -13, Can anyone stop the Packers offence? It is just ridiculous what they have been able to do week in and week out this year. The back door cover is always possible, but I don’t see the Aaron Rodgers train slowing down this week.
And here to show me up for the 2nd straight week is wifey with her wifey random picks for this week:
Eagles -14 (made up line, no line available)